Yes
Mid 0.75¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
OPENBinary · Closes 11/4/2026, 12:59:00 PM
POLITICSIRANELECTIONSUNITED STATESSTRAIT OF HORMUZOILPEACE DEALSENATEGEOPOLITICSMIDTERMSU.S. X IRANCONDITIONALSMIDTERM COMBOS
Open on Polymarket ↗ Score
100
Good24h vol
$24,042
7d vol
$81,582
Open int.
$40,613
Activity
—
Score breakdown
last wk.Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1
Execution notes
No major liquidity or timing warnings.
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH
Outcomes
No Lead
Mid 99.25¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99
Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom
Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB
Updating…
Yes
No
Signals on this market
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Top traders
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Context
Description
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Resolution criteria
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Event
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
- Resolve
- —
- Trades 24h
- —
Advanced data
Market metrics (raw)
{
"p_normalized": [
0.007500000000000001,
0.9925
],
"activity": {
"trades_24h": null,
"volume_7d_usd": 81581.507867,
"volume_24h_usd": 24041.860139,
"open_interest_usd": 40612.54921
},
"leader_outcome_id": 1
}Depth / impact
Yes
- 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
- 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
- 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
- —
No
- 100 {"buy":40024.309479999996,"sell":2818.78996}
- 200 {"buy":40024.309479999996,"sell":12269.749249999997}
- 500 {"buy":40024.309479999996,"sell":13037.948939999997}
- —
Order books
Outcome 1
Bids (top 5)
- {"size":8.72,"price":0.992}
- {"size":30.67,"price":0.991}
- {"size":52.67,"price":0.989}
- {"size":82.28,"price":0.986}
- {"size":2689.56,"price":0.984}
Asks (top 5)
- {"size":2112.98,"price":0.993}
- {"size":846.13,"price":0.994}
- {"size":11708.09,"price":0.996}
- {"size":7421.6,"price":0.997}
- {"size":3200,"price":0.998}
Outcome 0
Bids (top 5)
- {"size":2112.98,"price":0.007}
- {"size":846.13,"price":0.006}
- {"size":11708.09,"price":0.004}
- {"size":7421.6,"price":0.003}
- {"size":3200,"price":0.002}
Asks (top 5)
- {"size":8.72,"price":0.008}
- {"size":30.67,"price":0.009}
- {"size":52.67,"price":0.011}
- {"size":82.28,"price":0.014}
- {"size":2689.56,"price":0.016}