Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

WEATHERPANDEMICSHANTAVIRUS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$122,622

7d vol

$172,062

Open int.

$72,103

Activity

51 traders · 51 signals · updated 25 min. ago

Score breakdown

yesterday
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.15¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 97.85¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.021500000000000002,
    0.9785
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 172062.023727,
    "volume_24h_usd": 122621.69421600002,
    "open_interest_usd": 72102.84248
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0.814,"sell":1.84947}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":135178.54908,"sell":889.01566}
  • 200 {"buy":349326.7103,"sell":3360.1163800000004}
  • 500 {"buy":1110961.55306,"sell":18485.49023}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":88.07,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":5113.16,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":2914.85,"price":0.019}
  • {"size":232.99,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":688.52,"price":0.017}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":37,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":281.48,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":205,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":205,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":19.9,"price":0.027}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":37,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":281.48,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":205,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":205,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":19.9,"price":0.973}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":88.07,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":5113.16,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":2914.85,"price":0.981}
  • {"size":232.99,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":688.52,"price":0.983}