GTA 6 launch postponed again?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/20/2026, 12:59:00 PM

VIDEO GAMESCULTURETECHGTA VI
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

93

Good

24h vol

$8,785

7d vol

$44,466

Open int.

$32,642

Activity

9 traders · 9 signals · updated 20 min. ago

Score breakdown

50 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.5¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.5¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
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Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.025,
    0.975
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 44466.161194999986,
    "volume_24h_usd": 8784.839142,
    "open_interest_usd": 32642.35
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":4288.20805,"sell":1147.0142799999999}
  • 200 {"buy":17675.09273,"sell":4337.286929999999}
  • 500 {"buy":116620.88634,"sell":12005.89617}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":568.6,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":1054.45,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":142.85,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":2111.82,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.016}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":108.16,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":1066.8,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.031}
  • {"size":10.21,"price":0.035}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.04}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":108.16,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":1066.8,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.969}
  • {"size":10.21,"price":0.965}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.96}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":568.6,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":1054.45,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":142.85,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":2111.82,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.984}