Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2028, 7:59:00 AM

POLITICSGEOPOLITICSTURKEYWORLDEARN 3.25%

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$4,883

7d vol

$7,228

Open int.

$54,629

Activity

14 traders · 16 signals · updated 5 min. ago

Score breakdown

9 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.4¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.6¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Erdoğan out by...?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.024,
    0.976
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 7227.667957999999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 4883.073928,
    "open_interest_usd": 54629.105
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

100 {"buy":318.64506,"sell":4152.99531}
200 {"buy":86134.33935999998,"sell":13925.76181}
500 {"buy":134269.97013,"sell":16128.15967}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":933,"price":0.97}
{"size":354.99,"price":0.969}
{"size":3000,"price":0.968}
{"size":5000,"price":0.966}
{"size":40,"price":0.962}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":101.83,"price":0.982}
{"size":22,"price":0.984}
{"size":200,"price":0.985}
{"size":1028,"price":0.986}
{"size":917,"price":0.988}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":101.83,"price":0.018}
{"size":22,"price":0.016}
{"size":200,"price":0.015}
{"size":1028,"price":0.014}
{"size":917,"price":0.012}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":933,"price":0.03}
{"size":354.99,"price":0.031}
{"size":3000,"price":0.032}
{"size":5000,"price":0.034}
{"size":40,"price":0.038}