Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

POLITICSCULTURETWEET MARKETSRECURRING

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$25,605

7d vol

$71,866

Open int.

$18,406

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 hr. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.15¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.85¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Resolution criteria

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolution source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Event

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0015000000000000002,
    0.9985
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 71865.659575,
    "volume_24h_usd": 25604.96464,
    "open_interest_usd": 18406.32224
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

100 {"buy":66537.60579,"sell":6243.8616999999995}
200 {"buy":66537.60579,"sell":9863.882949999997}
500 {"buy":66537.60579,"sell":12660.445709999996}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":2527.95,"price":0.998}
{"size":365,"price":0.997}
{"size":1057.29,"price":0.996}
{"size":635.07,"price":0.995}
{"size":406.73,"price":0.994}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":66604.21,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":66604.21,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":2527.95,"price":0.002}
{"size":365,"price":0.003}
{"size":1057.29,"price":0.004}
{"size":635.07,"price":0.005}
{"size":406.73,"price":0.006}