Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/6/2026, 7:59:00 AM

INTEREST RATESENGLANDECONOMYBANK OF ENGLANDRECURRINGMACRO INDICATORSBOEGLOBAL RATES

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$392

7d vol

$18,709

Open int.

$10,153

Activity

4 traders · 4 signals · updated 34 min. ago

Score breakdown

57 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 98.45¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.99

Mid 1.55¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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Resolution criteria

https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

Resolution source

https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

Event

Bank of England decision in November?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.9845,
    0.015500000000000002
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 18708.703922,
    "volume_24h_usd": 392.361263,
    "open_interest_usd": 10153.48273
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":22075.991820000003,"sell":364.02187}
200 {"buy":27699.171020000005,"sell":563.4069299999999}
500 {"buy":27699.171020000005,"sell":913.5193699999998}

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0.4288,"sell":298.60965}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":19907.31,"price":0.015}
{"size":50,"price":0.01}
{"size":882.03,"price":0.008}
{"size":665.49,"price":0.007}
{"size":887.31,"price":0.006}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":26.8,"price":0.016}
{"size":343.49,"price":0.017}
{"size":50.86,"price":0.029}
{"size":10,"price":0.03}
{"size":10,"price":0.031}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":26.8,"price":0.984}
{"size":343.49,"price":0.983}
{"size":50.86,"price":0.971}
{"size":10,"price":0.97}
{"size":10,"price":0.969}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":19907.31,"price":0.985}
{"size":50,"price":0.99}
{"size":882.03,"price":0.992}
{"size":665.49,"price":0.993}
{"size":887.31,"price":0.994}