Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

OPENBinary · Closes 10/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

SPORTSTENNISGAMES

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$186,025

7d vol

$186,025

Open int.

$205,478

Activity

2 traders · 2 signals · updated 2 hr. ago

Score breakdown

last wk.

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Jacob Fearnley Lead

Mid 95.5¢·Bid 0.95·Ask 0.96

Pablo Carreno Busta

Mid 3.5¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.04

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

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Jacob Fearnley

Pablo Carreno Busta

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Resolution source

https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Event

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.9646464646464646,
    0.03535353535353536
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 186024.71627200005,
    "volume_24h_usd": 186024.71627200005,
    "open_interest_usd": 205478.1526
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Jacob Fearnley

100 {"buy":615.3504,"sell":9179.3275}
200 {"buy":14216.9717,"sell":30771.221499999996}
500 {"buy":37273.9937,"sell":84317.6471}

Pablo Carreno Busta

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":9662.45,"price":0.95}
{"size":22970.1,"price":0.94}
{"size":42630.52,"price":0.93}
{"size":10353.2,"price":0.92}
{"size":4807.8,"price":0.91}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":640.99,"price":0.96}
{"size":14022.29,"price":0.97}
{"size":11739.3,"price":0.98}
{"size":11669.2,"price":0.99}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":15629.48,"price":0.03}
{"size":13344.3,"price":0.02}
{"size":11669.2,"price":0.01}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":12339.76,"price":0.04}
{"size":50244.75,"price":0.05}
{"size":22845.1,"price":0.06}
{"size":12610.52,"price":0.07}
{"size":12383.2,"price":0.08}